{"id":409,"date":"2011-04-16T23:48:55","date_gmt":"2011-04-16T22:48:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.wetter-center.de\/blog\/?page_id=409"},"modified":"2021-11-05T15:59:55","modified_gmt":"2021-11-05T14:59:55","slug":"ihre-personliche-langfristprognose","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.wetter-center.de\/blog\/ihre-personliche-langfristprognose\/","title":{"rendered":"Langfristige Wetterprognosen"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>F\u00fcr langfristige Wetterprognosen werden meist sogenannte &#8220;<strong>Ensemble-Vorhersagen<\/strong>&#8221; genutzt: Wegen der chaotischen Natur des Wetters kann bei der Wetterprognose in vielen F\u00e4llen eine leichte \u00c4nderung der Ausgangsdaten zu einer v\u00f6lligen Ver\u00e4nderung der Prognose f\u00fchren. Daher werden zahlreiche Modellrechnungen durchgef\u00fchrt, die mit leicht ver\u00e4nderten Anfangsdaten gestartet werden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Die Ergebnisse dieser Modelll\u00e4ufe werden in <strong>Ensembles<\/strong> verglichen. Daraus lassen sich dann Wahrscheinlichkeitsaussagen treffen, zum Beispiel ob der n\u00e4chste Monat eher zu warm oder zu kalt erwartet wird. Eine andere Methode zur langfristigen Wetterprognose sind <strong>statistische Verfahren<\/strong>, die davon ausgehen, dass es bestimmte Muster oder Fernwirkungen bei der langfristigen Entwicklung der Wetterlagen gibt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Hier erhalten Sie weitere Informationen zu Langfristigen Wettervorhersagen:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Antworten auf <strong><a href=\"?page_id=410\">h\u00e4ufig gestellte Fragen<\/a><\/strong><\/li><li>Weitere Informationen zum <strong><a href=\"?page_id=411\">Prognoseverfahren<\/a><\/strong> und ausf\u00fchrliche Ver\u00f6ffentlichungen<\/li><li><strong><a href=\"?page_id=412\">Verifikationsbericht<\/a><\/strong><\/li><li><strong><a href=\"\/blog\/?cat=2\">Artikel vom Wetter-Center.de Blog<\/a><\/strong><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Hier sehen Sie die <strong>aktuelle Prognose<\/strong> des amerikanischen <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/people\/wwang\/cfs_fcst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">NCEP\/CFS-Modells<\/a> f\u00fcr die n\u00e4chsten drei Monate: Orange Fl\u00e4chen bedeutet eine Tendenz zu warmer Witterung, blaue Fl\u00e4chen zu kalter Witterung:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<center><br><figure><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 400px;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/CFSv2\/imagesInd3\/euT2mMonInd1.gif\" width=\"400\"><\/figure><br><figure><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 400px;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/CFSv2\/imagesInd3\/euT2mMonInd2.gif\" width=\"400\"><\/figure><br><figure><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"width: 400px;\" src=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/CFSv2\/imagesInd3\/euT2mMonInd3.gif\" width=\"400\"><\/figure><\/center>\n\n\n\n\n\n<script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-9815155793666672\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>F\u00fcr langfristige Wetterprognosen werden meist sogenannte &#8220;Ensemble-Vorhersagen&#8221; genutzt: Wegen der chaotischen Natur des Wetters kann bei der Wetterprognose in vielen F\u00e4llen eine leichte \u00c4nderung der Ausgangsdaten zu einer v\u00f6lligen Ver\u00e4nderung der Prognose f\u00fchren. Daher&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-409","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Langfristige Wetterprognosen - Wetter-Center.de<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wetter-center.de\/blog\/ihre-personliche-langfristprognose\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Langfristige Wetterprognosen - Wetter-Center.de\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"F\u00fcr langfristige Wetterprognosen werden meist sogenannte &#8220;Ensemble-Vorhersagen&#8221; genutzt: Wegen der chaotischen Natur des Wetters kann bei der Wetterprognose in vielen F\u00e4llen eine leichte \u00c4nderung der Ausgangsdaten zu einer v\u00f6lligen Ver\u00e4nderung der Prognose f\u00fchren. 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